And that is the only edge that lasts.
To predict price movement, do not analyze the company. Analyze the consensus narrative . Ask: "What story is priced in? And what story would break it?" How to Stop Being a Tourist So, what do you do with these secrets? Do you give up? Do you short every meme stock? Do you only trade the Fed’s balance sheet? The undeclared secrets that drive the stock market
Most institutional trading happens in —private exchanges where big funds hide their intentions. When a pension fund wants to sell a million shares, they don't dump them on the public exchange (which would crash the price). They trickle them out in the dark. And that is the only edge that lasts
The news will tell you it’s interest rates. Your broker will tell you it’s earnings. The pundits on TV will scream about inflation or the jobs report. Ask: "What story is priced in
When central banks print money (quantitative easing) or when the Treasury depletes its cash account, that money has to go somewhere. It flows like water downhill into stocks, bonds, and real estate. When liquidity is high, even bad companies rise. When liquidity is pulled (quantitative tightening), even great companies fall.
